Best Predicted FPL Players — Gameweek 4
PitchMetric's predicted points for every Premier League player with a fixture in gameweek 4 (a historical record -- this reflects what was predicted before that gameweek was played, not a re-run with hindsight), from a Poisson attack/defense model fit on real results. See the methodology for how these are calculated.
Top 10 overall
| Player | Team | Pos | Price | Predicted pts |
|---|
| Mitchell | Crystal Palace | DEF | 4.5m | 8.34 |
| Ajayi | Hull City | DEF | 4.2m | 7.77 |
| Saka | Arsenal | MID | 9.5m | 7.29 |
| Van de Ven | Spurs | DEF | 5.0m | 7.15 |
| Vuskovic | Brighton | DEF | 5.0m | 7.14 |
| De Cuyper | Brighton | DEF | 4.8m | 7.14 |
| Egan | Hull City | DEF | 4.1m | 7.03 |
| McNeil | Crystal Palace | MID | 5.4m | 6.90 |
| Haaland | Man City | FWD | 15.5m | 6.72 |
| Scott | Bournemouth | MID | 6.1m | 6.63 |
Best Goalkeepers
| Player | Team | Pos | Price | Predicted pts |
|---|
| Tzolakis | Hull City | GK | 4.6m | 6.08 |
| Verbruggen | Brighton | GK | 4.5m | 5.31 |
| Martinez | Chelsea | GK | 5.0m | 4.20 |
| Kelleher | Brentford | GK | 5.0m | 3.66 |
| Raya | Arsenal | GK | 6.0m | 3.37 |
| Trafford | Leeds | GK | 5.0m | 3.35 |
| Benitez | Crystal Palace | GK | 4.5m | 3.27 |
| Horníček | Newcastle | GK | 5.0m | 3.21 |
| M.Bizot | Aston Villa | GK | 4.5m | 3.19 |
| Suzuki | Aston Villa | GK | 5.0m | 2.99 |
Best Defenders
| Player | Team | Pos | Price | Predicted pts |
|---|
| Mitchell | Crystal Palace | DEF | 4.5m | 8.34 |
| Ajayi | Hull City | DEF | 4.2m | 7.77 |
| Van de Ven | Spurs | DEF | 5.0m | 7.15 |
| Vuskovic | Brighton | DEF | 5.0m | 7.14 |
| De Cuyper | Brighton | DEF | 4.8m | 7.14 |
| Egan | Hull City | DEF | 4.1m | 7.03 |
| Maitland-Niles | Everton | DEF | 4.5m | 6.48 |
| Coyle | Hull City | DEF | 4.0m | 6.47 |
| F.Kadıoğlu | Brighton | DEF | 4.4m | 6.28 |
| Dunk | Brighton | DEF | 4.5m | 6.14 |
Best Midfielders
| Player | Team | Pos | Price | Predicted pts |
|---|
| Saka | Arsenal | MID | 9.5m | 7.29 |
| McNeil | Crystal Palace | MID | 5.4m | 6.90 |
| Scott | Bournemouth | MID | 6.1m | 6.63 |
| Bentancur | Spurs | MID | 5.5m | 6.46 |
| Schade | Brentford | MID | 6.0m | 6.24 |
| Barnes | Newcastle | MID | 6.0m | 6.21 |
| Foden | Man City | MID | 7.0m | 6.17 |
| Sávio | Spurs | MID | 6.5m | 5.99 |
| Anderson | Man City | MID | 6.3m | 5.90 |
| Yeremy | Crystal Palace | MID | 5.5m | 5.87 |
Best Forwards
| Player | Team | Pos | Price | Predicted pts |
|---|
| Haaland | Man City | FWD | 15.5m | 6.72 |
| Strand Larsen | Crystal Palace | FWD | 6.0m | 5.46 |
| Delap | Nott'm Forest | FWD | 5.5m | 5.34 |
| Emersonn | Ipswich Town | FWD | 5.5m | 5.24 |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | FWD | 6.0m | 4.40 |
| Kostoulas | Brighton | FWD | 5.5m | 3.92 |
| Nketiah | Crystal Palace | FWD | 5.5m | 3.63 |
| McBurnie | Hull City | FWD | 5.5m | 3.45 |
| Georginio | Brighton | FWD | 5.4m | 3.43 |
| Havertz | Arsenal | FWD | 7.6m | 3.42 |
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